← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Gillingham win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gillingham | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1353.21 | 1594.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.49 | 34.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| league points | 39.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| state index | -1.17 | 0.88 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |