← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Northampton win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 4074.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1428.00 | 1498.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.03 | 20.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 47.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |