← EFL League One 2007-08 · Mon, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R Shoebridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Southend win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1459.85 | 1496.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.75 | 20.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 48.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.40 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |