← EFL League One 2007-08 · Mon, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: N Swarbrick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 53% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Northampton win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1584.63 | 1507.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.07 | 25.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 71.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.00 |
| state index | 0.88 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |