← EFL League One 2007-08 · Fri, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Miller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southend win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Swansea win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southend | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 414.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1494.11 | 1625.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.73 | -22.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| league points | 58.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.00 |
| state index | 0.76 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |