← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Moss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 70% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Crewe win | 10% | 9.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1565.56 | 1432.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.05 | -5.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 81.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |