← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Oliver
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Northampton win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1478.83 | 1473.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.66 | 22.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 62.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.20 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |