← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Brighton win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 3745.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 4.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1460.91 | 1389.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.09 | -50.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 53.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.00 |
| state index | 0.26 | -1.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |