← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Mathieson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Bradford win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 5543.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1366.24 | 1484.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.24 | 17.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| league points | 46.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.00 |
| state index | -0.96 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |