← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Shoebridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Millwall win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 11 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 5536.00 | 9248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1472.51 | 1599.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.04 | 5.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 62.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.40 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |