← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oldham win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Brighton win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 3738.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.42 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1398.04 | 1495.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.69 | -30.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 52.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.00 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |