← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Thorpe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 48% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Gillingham win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bournemouth | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 8610.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1425.45 | 1424.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.70 | 33.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 51.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |