← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Olivier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Brighton win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 79.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 4.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1528.33 | 1403.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.36 | -17.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 66.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.20 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.65 |
| travel km | — | 281.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |