← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Bournemouth win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 8603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1542.20 | 1435.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.08 | 19.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 75.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.20 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.20 |
| travel km | — | 249.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |