← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Gallagher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Chesterfield win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 6 | On target | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1470.63 | 1370.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.34 | -0.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 54.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 7.60 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.69 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |