← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Mathieson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Bristol City win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | — | 9241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1537.77 | 1584.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 62.88 | -1.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 68.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.60 |
| state index | 0.97 | 0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |