← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Pike
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Rotherham win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1389.93 | 1530.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.23 | 52.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| league points | 48.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |