← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Mathieson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Gillingham win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1381.37 | 1404.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.13 | -5.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.20 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |