← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Crossley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Bradford win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.94 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1415.73 | 1384.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.12 | -21.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| league points | 52.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.80 |
| state index | -0.53 | -1.12 |
| travel km | — | 346.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |