← EFL League One 2006-07 · Mon, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Bates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tranmere win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Brighton win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tranmere | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1451.45 | 1423.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.49 | 10.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 59.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.00 |
| state index | -0.93 | -0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |