← EFL League One 2006-07 · Mon, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Thorpe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 64% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Rotherham win | 14% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1537.90 | 1384.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.16 | 10.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 71.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.60 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |