← EFL League One 2006-07 · Mon, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Foster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Millwall win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 5517.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1489.30 | 1477.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.77 | 0.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 58.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.60 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |