← EFL League One 2006-07 · Mon, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Bratt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Brentford win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1428.18 | 1355.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.13 | -36.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 52.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 9.60 |
| state index | -0.71 | -1.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |