β EFL League One 2006-07 Β· Mon, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D McDermid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Chesterfield win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 3719.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1437.21 | 1378.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.55 | -9.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.60 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.73 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |