← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Foster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Crewe win | 29% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1367.76 | 1438.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.70 | -14.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 40.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.60 |
| state index | -1.23 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |