← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Jones
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| Swansea win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 9227.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1591.54 | 1514.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.91 | 13.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 75.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 10.40 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |