← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I Williamson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Doncaster win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1439.37 | 1473.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.70 | -35.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 52.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.60 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |