← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Penton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Cheltenham win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 3717.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1370.95 | 1421.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.00 | 17.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.40 |
| state index | -1.25 | -0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |