← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Lewis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Swansea win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 5508.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1451.47 | 1530.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.36 | 37.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| league points | 52.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.71 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |