← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Bates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Nott'm Forest win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 9220.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1594.59 | 1545.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.85 | 17.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 74.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.80 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |