← EFL League One 2006-07 · Fri, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N Swarbrick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tranmere win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Carlisle win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tranmere | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1475.03 | 1487.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.18 | 5.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 59.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.96 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.00 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |