← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M Haywood
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Millwall win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 5501.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1452.13 | 1464.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.16 | 24.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| league points | 50.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.20 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |