← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Melin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Cheltenham win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 3703.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1536.12 | 1420.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.05 | -4.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 67.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.80 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |