β EFL League One 2006-07 Β· Sat, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Rotherham win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1438.00 | 1385.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.03 | -11.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.60 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |