← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M Dean
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| Gillingham win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1474.89 | 1404.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.93 | -11.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 53.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.20 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.71 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |