← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D McDermidd
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Tranmere win | 32% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1463.39 | 1479.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.21 | -7.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 50.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.40 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |