← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M Haywood
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 56% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Gillingham win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1530.91 | 1409.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.50 | -4.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 64.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 13.20 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |