← EFL League One 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R Shoebridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Rotherham win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1388.41 | 1373.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.43 | -33.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 33.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.83 | -1.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |