← EFL League One 2006-07 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R Lewis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 55% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Chesterfield win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 43.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1515.68 | 1378.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.35 | -33.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 55.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.60 |
| state index | 0.12 | -1.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |