← EFL League One 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Penton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Southend win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 24 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| coach days | 758.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.61 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1463.48 | 1564.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.19 | -27.83 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| league points | 67.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |