← EFL League One 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Hartlepool win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1402.05 | 1529.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.25 | 51.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 45.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.80 |
| state index | -1.08 | 0.95 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |