← EFL League One 2005-06 · Tue, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N Swarbrick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Swindon win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 740.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1486.31 | 1417.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.79 | -1.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 63.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 7.40 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |