← EFL League One 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B Curson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Port Vale win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | — | 737.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1424.30 | 1496.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.45 | -3.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 51.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.80 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |