← EFL League One 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I Williamson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Colchester win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1503.49 | 1525.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.63 | -5.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 58.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |