← EFL League One 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Woolmer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Chesterfield win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1415.46 | 1489.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.89 | 38.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 51.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.80 |
| state index | -1.26 | 0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |