← EFL League One 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G Hegley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Chesterfield win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1405.04 | 1428.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.72 | -38.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 39.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 8.60 |
| state index | -1.20 | -0.91 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |