← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Mathieson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Doncaster win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1515.48 | 1609.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.97 | 33.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 65.00 | 97.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 13.20 |
| state index | 0.03 | 1.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |