← EFL League One 2004-05 · Tue, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Brentford win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1426.47 | 1457.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.88 | -17.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 7.80 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |