β EFL League One 2004-05 Β· Sat, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Walsall win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1512.61 | 1425.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.32 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 70.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |