← EFL League One 2004-05 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: �S Tanner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Wrexham win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1398.44 | 1596.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.66 | 10.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 47.00 | 91.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 2.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 13.40 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.76 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |